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Posts Tagged by housing market

Real Estate Market Shifts: Buyers Seek Smaller Houses

March 15, 2011 Posted by Sandie under Real Estate
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A recent study from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) shed light on the current state of the real estate market and gave projections for the future. What the study found is that as a result of the recent housing slump, people are looking for smaller houses.

According to the NAHB report, builders “surveyed expect homes to average 2,152 square feet in 2015, 10 percent smaller than the average size of single-family homes started in the first three quarters of 2010. To save on square footage, the living room is high on the endangered list – 52 percent of builders expect it to be merged with other spaces in the home by 2015 and 30 percent said it will vanish entirely.”

The report notes the increasing importance of green and eco-friendly homes. “In addition to floor plan changes, 68 percent of builders surveyed say that homes in 2015 will also include more green features and technology, including low-E windows; engineered wood beams, joists or tresses; water-efficient features such as dual-flush toilets or low-flow faucets; and an Energy Star rating for the whole house.”

According to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, home sales have been increasing due to the affordability of existing homes. Despite this good news, the report also noted that the “housing market remains fragile as data through January paint a mixed picture of recovery. Existing home sales ticked upward in January, but remained below levels seen in the first half of 2010. Mortgage delinquencies continued a downward trend compared to early 2010 and foreclosure starts and completions remain below peak.”

If you want to learn more about the results of the NAHB survey, read more from Realty Times.

Stricter FHA Financing Rules Signal Need for Creative Modes of Financing

February 9, 2011 Posted by Sandie under All Things Rent To Buy, Real Estate, Rent2Buy Concept
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The Federal Housing Administration has changed their condo financing rules, squeezing sellers and creating significant new challenges for the resale of some real estate projects.

According to Orest Tomaselli, CEO of White Plains, NY-based National Condo Advisors LLC, “There were 26,000 condominium developments that would have had to have been recertified by Dec. 7, 2010, and, in fact, my office sent out letters to almost every single one of these developments across the country telling them they were going to lose their approval. Most of them didn’t even know.”

While FHA-approval typically involves a substantial amount of paperwork, the benefit is easier access to FHA financing. Condominium purchasers did not necessarily need to rely on FHA funding in the past, because up until 2007, private lenders were loaning them large sums of money. For those who did want FHA financing, there was something called a spot loan that allowed them to get FHA approval for the particular condominium slotted for purchase.

“In February 2010, the FHA ended the spot loan — replacing it was a process where every single condominium development had to have project approval, which was to be given by HUD (the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development), which administers the FHA, and lenders that were delegated FHA lenders,” said Tomaselli. Because of the economic downturn, the presence of private lenders in the market has drastically decreased and the need for other forms of financing has again become an important consideration for developments.

While condo developments used to be able to get approval once and then be set for life, the process has changed. Developments must now get reapproved every two years. The guidelines for approval are stricter than ever, and some developments are reconsidering their need for a partnership with the FHA. But there are drawbacks to relinquishing FHA-approval. Without FHA-approval, condos are seen as less desirable and are at a disadvantage in terms of marketing and value. This is a crucial concern considering the current state of the housing market.

So, what does this mean for you? “When those condo owners want to sell their units and no one can finance,” says Tomaselli, “when buyers can’t get a mortgage because the development is not FHA- or Fannie Mae-compliant, that’s when the pain will rise and everyone will start to scramble to become compliant.”

Rent to buy is an alternative that allows buyers to pay a monthly rental payment on a property and have a portion of that payment go towards the eventual purchase price. For sellers, offering potential homeowners the option to rent to buy the property means a property does not remain vacant, but rather makes money each month until it is purchased. It’s crucial to consider creative ways of financing given the housing market’s current state. Rent to buy is just one option that can benefit buyers and sellers alike in a time when finding a happy ending for either is almost unimaginable.

Read more, in this article from Inman News.

5 Cities You Wouldn’t Expect to Have the Fastest Growing Foreclosure Rates in the Country

February 7, 2011 Posted by Sandie under Real Estate
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The increase in foreclosure rates across the country has received a wealth of media attention in recent months. Discussions of foreclosure rates and the housing crisis often involve the invocation of Las Vegas as a prime example of a place where foreclosure rates have skyrocketed and the housing market remains in disrepair. Several other cities are experiencing increasing foreclosure rates, most in places you would not expect.

Spartanburg, South Carolina: 1 in 16 homes
With a 228 percent increase in foreclosure filings in 2010, Spartanburg had the highest foreclosure growth rate of any American city last year.

Albuquerque, New Mexico: 1 in 46 homes
Despite the influx of young professionals and retirees in recent years, Albuquerque has been struggling in the housing market. The foreclosure rate in Albuquerque increased by 60 percent in 2010.

Myrtle Beach, South Carolina: 2.25 percent
While Myrtle Beach has traditionally been a hot-spot for those purchasing second homes, a recent contraction of the second-home market has led to a 44 percent increase in foreclosures.

Savannah, Georgia: 1 in 40 homes
The 37 percent increase in foreclosures seen in Savannah last year occurred primarily in the town’s Historic District and The Landings, both areas where home values rose drastically before the housing market tanked.

Charlotte, North Carolina: 1 in 50 homes
Though the unemployment rate in Charlotte has begun to drop, complete recovery of the economy in this growing metro area is still a far cry away; foreclosure filings increased by 37 percent in 2010.

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Think It’s Only Downhill From Here? 10 Cities Where Home Prices Will Rise in 2011

February 3, 2011 Posted by Sandie under Real Estate
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Though the national average for home prices is predicted to decline in the coming year, there are some cities that will experience a marked growth. The following 10 cities are slotted as the top ten cities for predicted growth in home values. Some may take this at face value to be an indication of a rebounding housing market. However, when compared to the high percentages predicted in markets where home prices will fall the most, a 0.5 percent increase like that seen in New Orleans seems relatively insignificant.

1. Washington, DC: +6.5%
2. Houston, TX: +3.6%
3. Honolulu, HI: +3.4%
4. Memphis, TN: +3.2%
5. Columbus, OH: +2.1%
6. Dallas, TX: +1.4%
7. New York, NY: +1.3%
8. Birmingham, AL: +0.9%
9. Pittsburgh, PA: +0.8%
10. New Orleans, LA: +0.5%

Source: “Where Home Prices Will Rise, Fall the Most in 2011,” MSNBC (Jan. 26, 2011)

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Zillow Ranks Top 20 Best Performing Cities

December 27, 2010 Posted by Sandie under Real Estate
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Zillow recently reported their findings of a study outlining the 20 best performing cities of the past decade. The sample size includes the 75 largest cities in the country for which home value data is available. The calculations shown in the chart below include the percent change in home values over the last 10 years in these cities. The cities are ranked from 1 to 20, with 1 being the city that experienced the most appreciation in that time period. The survey examines the percent change in home values from October 2000 to October 2010.

Washington DC is ranked number one, with home values seeing a 146% change since 10 years ago. The 10-year annualized change is calculated to be 9.4%.

It’s interesting that Washington D.C. is ranked number one, with the largest percent change in home values over the past decade. Just a few days ago, we blogged about renting in the Washington area and the skyrocketing prices renters are facing. The above chart gives a look into the behavior of home values in the area.

Home values in the area have risen dramatically in the past decade, from $142,904 in October 2000 to $352,117 in October 2010. However, the most dramatic increase was experience in the first half of the decade. In October 2006, annual home value changes were at 0 percent, and did not go above 1 percent through 2007. From 2007 on, home values in the area have decreased by 15.6 percent to $352,117.

While it may be easy to quickly glance at the rankings and determine that the cities at the top of Zillow’s list represent areas faring best in the economic downturn, it is crucial to take into consideration the time frame in which the price appreciation has occurred.  Washington D.C. is just one city on a list of many that have experienced appreciating home values in the past decade. Each city must be considered independently of the others if we are to get a real sense of how the economy has impacted the housing market there.

To see the full story on Zillow, click here.

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Washington Area Residents Face Tough Decision: To Rent or to Buy?

December 22, 2010 Posted by Sandie under News, Real Estate, Rent2Buy Concept
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Brian Vent, 29, moved to the suburbs of Virginia from Texas in 2009. He moved to Virginia in search of work after finishing a two-year Navy flight program. Since he moved to the area he has rented two apartments, and now lives in a house in Vienna with a couple of roommates. Vent favors renting for several reasons. He cites the flexibility it gives in an uncertain economy, explaining that “If something were to happen with the economy or my job, I could move again at the snap of a finger.” According to Vent, renting is a financially responsible thing to do.

According to a Fannie Mae survey released last week, more than half of all renters polled cited “financial benefits” as the foremost reason they choose to rent. In January, 54 percent of renters said that they’d rent again next time they move, a number that has now increased to 59 percent. Out of all of those surveyed, renters and homeowners alike, 33 percent said that they were more likely to rent their next property than buy it.

Of those renters who plan to own next time around, 50 percent probably won’t have enough income to get a mortgage on a median-priced home. Many people in the market to rent or buy have bad credit, do not have enough money to make the large down payment required by lenders, and/or have additional properties they previously owned before moving to the Washington area that they can’t get rid of.

Many of those moving to the D.C. area are shocked by the high rents they are met with when they arrive. Ari Zimmerman studied at Indiana University, and paid 600 dollars for what he characterized as a “stunning” four-bedroom apartment. He moved to D.C. post-graduation to pursue a job on Capitol Hill, and now faces a rent of 1,500 dollars a month for his three-bedroom U-Street apartment.

Because so many people want to rent, landlords are able to raise rent while cutting back on concessions. According to Joan Caton Cromwell, an agent in Chevy Chase, renting in the area is much different than it was just a few years ago. Cromwell witnessed a bidding war over a D.C. condominium. Three years ago, the condominium was unoccupied for several months. This spring, it flew off of the market in no time. “I immediately had three applications, and I could have taken more,” said Cromwell. “We got a couple to sign a two-year lease because they wanted it so badly, and they’re paying $200 more a month than the last tenant. That is $2,500 without parking, which was included in the rent before.”

There are about 12,500 more apartments occupied by renters through the end of this year than there were at the same time last year. A survey completed in the third quarter showed 16 percent of apartment projects with waiting lists. Of those without a waiting list, many had only 1 or 2 units available.

With the slowdown of the economy, developers slowed the expansion of apartment projects. This slowdown has left a large gap between the demand for rental apartments and the supply thereof. As vacancies continue to be few and far between, rents  continue to climb. According to Grant Montgomery, vice president at Delta Associates, rents will continue to rise in the next two years, due to the lack of new openings and opportunities for renters to get their hands on the rental spaces they demand.

For all of the individuals whose situations we discussed above, neither renting nor buying is the ideal option. Some see renting as the most fiscally responsible decision because it is the most sound option in the short-term. But when looking at the bigger picture, people are not always satisfied with the effects of their short-term decisions. A rent to buy option would be extremely valuable in such cases. If someone like Brian Vent thought he might end up staying in D.C. in the future, a rent to buy transaction would allow him the flexibility he values. For any hesitant renter looking to make a decision in his long-term interest, the option to rent to buy a property will surely satisfy his needs.

Should Washington area residents rent or buy? We think they should rent to buy.

Click here to read the original article.

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Renters in D.C. Area Struggle With Skyrocketing Rents

December 21, 2010 Posted by Sandie under News, Real Estate
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In the Washington area, rents are at the highest level measured in at least 20 years. Both economic and psychological forces have impacted the demand for rental properties. The failure of the housing sector in the last five years has pushed many people out of their homes and into the rental market.

Rental prices in the DC area increased 22 percent in 2009. One explanation for the drastic increase in price is the transformation of single-family homes into rental properties. About 10,000 single-family homes in the area are now for rent, and these houses are typically larger and have higher rents than a typical apartment.

Because of the high demand for affordable housing, bidding wars between hopeful future tenants are not uncommon, and rents can reach upwards of $4000 for a ‘modest home’ in the area’s most desirable neighborhoods. Potential tenants seeking housing are met with long waiting lists, strict credit checks, and rents up to three times as expensive as they’re accustomed to.

Even in the local apartment buildings, rent has jumped 8.2 percent to $1,643. D.C.’s vacancy rates are second-lowest in the US, only after New York City. Gregory H. Leisch, chief executive of an Alexandria-based research firm, Delta Associates, said, “There’s been a structural shift from owners to renters in this country in the past few years. It’s the most rapid shift I’ve ever witnessed in the 40 years I’ve been in this business.”

In D.C., unlike in much of the US, high foreclosure rates are not the primary reason for the shift in behavior from buying to renting. Economists believe the thriving rental market in the area is due to the rapid growth of new jobs.

According to Stephen Fuller, director of George Mason University’s Center for Regional Analysis, “The rental market is going to be golden for a few years.” According to Fuller, It’s going to be the first winner. Then some of renters will become homeowners in two to three years.”

Check back tomorrow for more on the status of the housing market in D.C., and the stories of real homeowners trying to make the difficult decision to rent or buy.

Click here to read the original article in the Washington Post.

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8 Towns Hit Hard By Foreclosure See Hope For Future

November 18, 2010 Posted by Sandie under Real Estate
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Though the real estate market has been hit hard by the recent economic downturn, some areas have been hit harder than others. In the 8 towns featured below, foreclosure rates reached never-before-seen levels and home values plummeted to new lows. According to trends in Zillow.com’s third quarter data, even the places hit hardest by the economic crisis are seeing decelerating foreclosure rates and an increase in home values. Their forecasts show that the future may look a little brighter. Take a look:

Las Vegas, Nevada

Las Vegas has been known as one of the nation’s foreclosure epicenters. Foreclosure re-sales reached their peak in May 2009, accounting for 54% of all home sales in Las Vegas. Since then, the monthly foreclosure rate has decreased by 33%. Though home values have not been rising dramatically, even the slight but consistent increase in home values over the past 10 months suggest that prices are beginning to stabilize.

Merced, California

Merced is one California town that has experienced an extremely high rate of foreclosures. The town has seen home values fall 57% since December of 2005 and experienced foreclosure re-sales that make up more than 86% of all home sales in the area. It is unclear what the future ewill hold, but there is room for cautious optimism as foreclosures have hit only 2 of every 500 homes since September 2010. This is down from the 1 of every 100 homes facing foreclosure between September 2008 and February 2009.

Modesto, California

Home prices in Modesto, California have fallen approximately 60.1% since their peak in January 2006. Despite this dramatic drop, home values have begun to climb back up over the past 10 months and have risen about 2.8%. Foreclosure re-sales accounted for 79% of all home sales at their peak in September 2008. This number is now at only 53.1%, indicating that the real estate market in Modesto may be stabilizing and beginning its recovery.

Stockton, California

Home prices in Stockton have decreased by about 60.7% since their highest point in March 2006. Like Modesto, Stockton saw a peak in foreclosure re-sales in September 2008. This type of sale accounted for more than 81% of all sales in the area. Prices of homes in the area have risen for 10 out of the past 11 months, and are now back at their July 2009 level (up 2.9% from their lowest point).

Riverside, California

Out of all the California towns with devastating foreclosure rates and low home values, Riverside has recovered the most successfully. Home values peaked in 2006 and then fell by 52%. Prices are now up by 9% from their lowest point. Foreclosure re-sales accounted for 69% of all home sales in February 2009, but have dropped to 45% of all sales as of September 2010.

Vallejo, California

The foreclosure rate went from 3 out of 500 homes in August 2008 to 2 out of 500 homes during the month of September. Home values in Vallejo dropped by 54.4% from their peak in July 2006. Approximately 54% of Vallejo’s home sales were foreclosure re-sales in May of 2009; this number has dropped to 47.7% of all transactions over the last 10 months, and home prices have appreciated 2.1%.

Salinas, California

Foreclosure re-sales in Salinas peaked in 2009, at which point they accounted for 76% of all sales. As of September 2010, foreclosure re-sales dropped to just 40% of all transactions, and the rate of new foreclosures decreased by almost 60% from September 2008. Home values in Salinas have been on an upward trajectory, rising for 13 of the past 17 months and currently back at the level they were at in December 2008.

Madera, California

In Madera, 81% of all home sales in May 2009 were foreclosure re-sales. Over the past 9 months, home values have been on the rise for all but one of these months. While 3 out of every 500 homes were in foreclosure between August and September of 2008, this rate has been cut in half and remained stable since September 2010.

To read the original article on CNBC, click here.

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Ownership May Become an Option for Stuyvesant Town Renters

November 15, 2010 Posted by Sandie under News, Real Estate
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Stuyvesant Town and Peter Cooper Village have been referred to as “the largest failed residential real estate deal of all time.” The 11,000-unit complex was bought for 5.4 billion and then collapsed to less than 2 billion dollars.

Rents in the complex have been kept low by the city’s rent-stabilization program. Despite the affordable rents for many residents, there are a large portion of renters in the complex that want to have the option to buy their apartment. There have been ongoing talks with the company that controls the property in hopes of achieving a deal that will allow tenants to do just that.

According to Ben Thypin, a senior market analyst at the real estate research firm Real Capital Analytics, the deal will only work if a large portion of tenants agree to buy in. Not all tenants are enthusiastic about buying in, including young renters who view their living situation as temporary and are not ready to commit to purchasing a place. Also less than enthusiastic are the senior citizens living in the complex, many of whom are paying bargain-basement rents.

A co-op conversation is in the investors’ interests as well. According to Thypin, “The tenants are in the position where they would probably value the property at the highest price. Investors might not lose as much as we thought they would a year ago – but they’re certainly not going to make the money back.”

Talks are in the works between tenant representatives and CW Capital, the company representing the senior investors. According to Dan Garodnick, City Councilman and resident of the complex, both tenants and investors are interested in reaching a deal that would give tenants an affordable option to buy in. Even if such an option becomes available to tenants, they will still be able to choose to keep renting and opt not to buy.

It’s still not certain whether a deal can be reached that will satisfy both owners and tenants. Part of the problem is defining “affordable” in a borough where $900,000 was the median sale price for an apartment last quarter.

To read the original article in the Wall Street Journal, click here.

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Zillow Chief Economist Discusses State of Real Estate Market

November 12, 2010 Posted by Sandie under News, Real Estate
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Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries talked with Carol Massar and Matt Miller on Bloomberg TV’s “Street Smart” about Zillow’s Q3 Real Estate Market Reports. The reports detail Zillow’s latest housing data, and provide projections for the future.

To view the video clip, click here.

In the interview, Humphries was asked about the current status of the real estate market. According to Humphries, “The good news is we’re closer to the end than the beginning.” Home values have fallen 25 percent nationwide since their peak in 2006. Humphries says “the bottom has proven quite elusive,” and believes home prices could dip an additional 5 percent before starting to recover once again.

Zillow’s numbers look better than projections made by Case-Shiller and Deutsche Bank, who see home values down more than 30 percent as opposed to Zillow’s 25 percent. The disparity can be accounted for by the inclusion of foreclosure data in the Case-Shiller index. Zillow, on the other hand, looks just at the sales of full-value arms-length transactions. Zillow’s index is supposed to mirror what’s happening to home prices for those homeowners who want to sell in a conventional market.

The trajectory of depreciation rates earlier this year looked pretty positive, but at this point the earliest Humphries believes we’ll see a bottom is in the first half of next year. When it comes to projections for the future and the potential for price appreciation, Humphries believes that once we’ve hit bottom, the principle thing that’s going to hang over the market in the next few years is negative equity. Foreclosures are going to remain at elevated rates, but negative equity is also suppressing housing demand. People stuck with homes that they cannot sell are therefore unable to buy other ones, keeping the housing market stagnant.

Some believe the first-time home buyer tax credit held back the drop in prices and has therefore slowed the housing market’s recovery. The policy has received mixed reviews in terms of its effectiveness; proponents of the policy believe that it did help to prop up the market, whereas others believe the policy stole demand from future months into the springtime but didn’t materially change much demand.

Humphries doesn’t believe they will be able to drive down mortgage rates much lower than they already are. Mortgage rates in Zillow’s marketplace are at about 4.1 this week, which is the lowest they’ve been in about forty years.

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